Handicap NFL Football Trends

When the Dallas Cowboys and Indianapolis Colts began the 2007 NFL season with the preseason opener, handicappers across the country are getting their minds ready to tackle another year of football games in his ceaseless quest to make money and win office pools. As a handicapper professional, it is my job to deal with the betting lines each week in an attempt to provide information to the winners who seek my service. Since statistics in college, I combined the math portion of the equation, along with the trend of play demonstrated that have allowed me and my partners to select the winners at a rate of 57 percent over 20 years. That does not include the five best bets weekly winners come in around 62-65 percent. This approach is also used for the selection college football, MLB, and basketball games of the NCAA.

Now in our NFL preseason betting trends that we will share with you. One of my bets Favorite angles time and again proved the winner is the old "Home Underdog" scenario. Usually when a team is playing at home fighting a winning club, the home underdog angle requires guts and strength of the best due to the fact that the selection of a team clearly inferior to one that is much better going against all the instincts amateur gambler. For example, a typical household is losing in recent seasons the Houston Texans, who seem to struggle every season. Well the Texans last season were the home of the underdog Jacksonville Jaguars were a playoff contending team. The point spread installed as the Jaguars' favorites 7 points. Many probably saw this as a gimme game and bet heavily on the Jaguars. Well, a 27-7 pasting by the Texans Vegas was very happy. This is the perfect type hypothesis that the betting lines and prosper in what you always have to be on the lookout for. Home underdogs are a great bet and has been a consistent winner for years.

The reason this is so because the factor of disrespect. NFL players are at least proud. Being respected is the worst thing you can do to a player professional football is something that arouses strong emotions in those who feel its light. When a team is playing in front of his home fans, the typical line betting is that the visiting team gets an automatic 3 points. Once this is established, then determine the rest gamblers on the basis records, trends, injuries, etc. So after all these factors are considered, if a team is a loser then home, so the punters are really saying is that you are so bad that we think you will get beaten on their own turf. The players go crazy and the fuels show the pessimistic wrong. So what you get is a fuel level of rage, anger and determination that allow home underdogs to cover at a rate almost 60 percent in the last five seasons. You are probably wondering if this is so, why not Vegas do something to change the pointspreads to not lose money on this trend? The answer to that is it is not necessary that many gamblers still can not resist betting on the top teams on the lower level teams, no matter where the contest takes place.

So your first lesson in the 2007 NFL betting season is that you should pay attention to the destitute home. They are good money makers and help to succeed in office pools. Good luck.

Week 11 Early Lines and Point Spreads

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Filed under: College football

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